Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.460463 0.590871 0.731958 0.893994 1.073174 1.263702 1.480134
2025-04-06 0.258713 0.425444 0.626450 0.876614 1.171335 1.500772 1.890752
2025-04-13 0.184498 0.368494 0.608081 0.921445 1.303899 1.742558 2.272324
2025-04-20 0.133364 0.326552 0.597482 0.967369 1.431834 1.975180 2.641155
2025-04-27 0.099636 0.298739 0.597534 1.020196 1.562852 2.207161 3.005477
2025-05-04 0.082538 0.292371 0.623945 1.104827 1.731530 2.482900 3.420362
2025-05-11 0.061627 0.272083 0.626232 1.154565 1.854418 2.702219 3.767733
2025-05-18 0.038860 0.238169 0.602807 1.165722 1.925609 2.856972 4.037034
2025-05-25 0.014506 0.180889 0.533160 1.106034 1.900608 2.890424 4.158433
2025-06-01 0.002162 0.131124 0.465227 1.041567 1.864071 2.905641 4.254531
2025-06-08 NaN 0.101226 0.425943 1.014994 1.874893 2.977608 4.417370
2025-06-15 NaN 0.089413 0.420042 1.038463 1.953129 3.134424 4.683784
2025-06-22 NaN 0.071744 0.399496 1.040465 2.005856 3.264738 4.925927
2025-06-29 NaN 0.051529 0.366501 1.019768 2.026064 3.353606 5.118070
2025-07-06 NaN 0.048129 0.375536 1.068800 2.144799 3.569725 5.468070
2025-07-13 NaN 0.045145 0.384931 1.118266 2.264215 3.786947 5.819814
2025-07-20 NaN 0.043794 0.398724 1.175274 2.394553 4.018568 6.189777
2025-07-27 NaN 0.048520 0.431764 1.266318 2.574527 4.315576 6.642104
2025-08-03 NaN 0.046577 0.443458 1.319728 2.699898 4.541063 7.004903
2025-08-10 NaN 0.038192 0.432172 1.331696 2.764544 4.686558 7.267170
2025-08-17 NaN 0.021268 0.380649 1.267618 2.715571 4.680779 7.337918
2025-08-24 NaN 0.009032 0.329473 1.198281 2.655268 4.657494 7.384502
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003825 0.301424 1.169660 2.653849 4.711075 7.526938